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'Small data' enabled prediction of Obama's win, say economists

Published:01 May 2013Publication History
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Abstract

"Big data" from crowdsourcing resulted in more complex predictions.

References

  1. Rothschild, D. and Wilson C. Obama poised to win 2012 election with 303 electoral votes: The Signal Forecast, February 16, 2012; http://news.yahoo.com/ blogs/signal/obama-poised-win-2012- election-303-electoral-votes-202543583. html#OWqyiSAGoogle ScholarGoogle Scholar
  2. Rothschild, D. and Wolfers, J. Forecasting Elections: Voter Intentions versus Expectations, November 1, 2012; http://www. brookings.edu/research/papers/2012/11/01- voter-expectations-wolfersGoogle ScholarGoogle Scholar
  3. Pennock, D., A toast to the number 303: A redemptive election night for science, and The Signal, November 10, 2012; http://blog.oddhead. com/2012/11/10/signal-redeemed/Google ScholarGoogle Scholar
  4. Hummel, P. and Rothschild, D. Fundamental Models for Forecasting Elections, http://researchdmr.com/ HummelRothschild_FundamentalModel.pdfGoogle ScholarGoogle Scholar
  5. Nate Silver: Forecasting the 2012 Election, April 12, 2012; https://www.youtube.com/ watch?v=P9dyDZsPPOEGoogle ScholarGoogle Scholar
  6. Pres. Obama on Top in First Presidential Election Forecast, July 13, 2012; https:// www.youtube.com/watch?v=t_I2VpS2JMYGoogle ScholarGoogle Scholar

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  1. 'Small data' enabled prediction of Obama's win, say economists

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        • Published in

          cover image Communications of the ACM
          Communications of the ACM  Volume 56, Issue 5
          May 2013
          90 pages
          ISSN:0001-0782
          EISSN:1557-7317
          DOI:10.1145/2447976
          Issue’s Table of Contents

          Copyright © 2013 ACM

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          New York, NY, United States

          Publication History

          • Published: 1 May 2013

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